OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-12
🇮🇹 Serie A · Monday 12 October 2026, 18:45 UTC · finished
Torino 0.80 2 - 1 0.80 Udinese
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 45.7%42%+3.4%✓ hit
DCHome or away 74.1%73%+1.3%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 58.5%60%-1.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.4%47%+11.0%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 56.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson37.7%27.4%34.9%
xgboost39.6%30.7%29.7%
logistic39.4%28.1%32.5%
Inputs the models saw
TorinoUdinese
Elo (pre-match)16051613
Surface Elo16051613
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.800.80
Form trend-0.200.50
Season points per game0.800.80
Season goals for / game1.001.60
Season goals against / game1.602.20
Rest days2323
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W3 W · 2 D
Torino: last 5
19 SepABologna1 - 1D
14 SepHRoma0 - 2L
05 SepAFiorentina2 - 1W
29 AugASassuolo1 - 2L
23 AugHAc Milan1 - 2L
Udinese: last 5
26 SepAPogon Szczecin1 - 1D
19 SepHCagliari0 - 1L
14 SepAInter3 - 5L
07 SepHLazio1 - 2L
29 AugAMonza3 - 2W
Head to head
02 May 2026Udinese2 - 0Torino
07 Jan 2026Torino1 - 2Udinese
23 Apr 2025Torino2 - 0Udinese
29 Dec 2024Udinese2 - 2Torino
16 Mar 2024Udinese0 - 2Torino
23 Dec 2023Torino1 - 1Udinese
05 Feb 2023Torino1 - 0Udinese
23 Oct 2022Udinese1 - 2Torino
06 Feb 2022Udinese2 - 0Torino
22 Nov 2021Torino2 - 1Udinese
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.5028.6%12 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2draw3.0033.3%12 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2home2.3043.5%12 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.2045.5%12 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.6759.9%12 Oct 19:45
SportyBet1X2away3.2630.7%12 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.2430.9%12 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.4740.5%12 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.1546.5%12 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7357.8%12 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:07 UTC