| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 47.8% | 44% | +3.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.9% | 75% | +1.0% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.0% | 62% | -0.3% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.9% | 60% | -3.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 22.6% | 26.6% | 50.8% |
| xgboost | 33.7% | 23.5% | 42.8% |
| logistic | 30.3% | 27.8% | 41.9% |
| Boulogne | Reims | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1406 | 1564 |
| Surface Elo | 1406 | 1564 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.89 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 2.11 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.22 |
| Rest days | 10 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 16 Oct | A | Grenoble | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Grenoble | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Sochaux | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Oct | A | Sochaux | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Nantes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Dijon | 4 - 2 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Dijon | 4 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Nantes | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Nantes | 0 - 0 | D |
| 18 Sep | H | Montpellier | 1 - 1 | D |
| 04 Apr 2026 | Reims | 0 - 0 | Boulogne |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Boulogne | 2 - 6 | Reims |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 26 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.00 | 33.3% | 26 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.90 | 34.5% | 26 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 26 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.70 | 58.8% | 26 Oct 19:45 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.25 | 30.8% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.68 | 59.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |