| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.7% | 68% | -12.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 37.9% | 62.1% |
| logistic | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Zhizhen Zhang | Rei Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1600 | 1743 |
| Surface Elo | 1600 | 1743 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | A | Marin Cilic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Yi Zhou | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Kaichi Uchida | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Yi Zhou | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Kaichi Uchida | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Kasidit Samrej | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Karen Khachanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Karen Khachanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Alex De Minaur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Alex De Minaur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Feb 2026 | Rei Sakamoto | 0 - 2 | Zhizhen Zhang |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.46 | 68.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.60 | 38.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |