OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ England Championship · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Bristol City 0.80 0 - 1 1.20 Sheffield Utd
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 50.7%47%+3.5%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 76.8%75%+1.8%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 67.0%64%+2.6%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 55.3%50%+5.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 50.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson39.9%27.3%32.8%
xgboost47.6%27.3%25.1%
logistic57.1%25.4%17.5%
Inputs the models saw
Bristol CitySheffield Utd
Elo (pre-match)15301524
Surface Elo15301524
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.20
Form trend-0.100.30
Season points per game0.501.00
Season goals for / game0.502.00
Season goals against / game1.001.67
Rest days32
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W4 W · 2 D
Bristol City: last 5
13 OctHBlackburn0 - 1L
13 OctHBlackburn0 - 1L
12 OctHExeter City Reserve3 - 5L
10 OctACharlton1 - 1D
10 OctACharlton1 - 1D
Sheffield Utd: last 5
14 OctAPortsmouth2 - 3L
14 OctAPortsmouth2 - 3L
10 OctHLincoln3 - 0W
10 OctHLincoln3 - 0W
09 OctABrighton & Hove Albion U211 - 2L
Head to head
06 Apr 2026Bristol City1 - 0Sheffield Utd
09 Aug 2025Sheffield Utd1 - 4Bristol City
11 Mar 2025Sheffield Utd1 - 1Bristol City
05 Nov 2024Bristol City1 - 2Sheffield Utd
18 Apr 2023Sheffield Utd1 - 0Bristol City
01 Nov 2022Bristol City0 - 1Sheffield Utd
18 Apr 2022Bristol City1 - 1Sheffield Utd
28 Nov 2021Sheffield Utd2 - 0Bristol City
30 Mar 2019Sheffield Utd2 - 3Bristol City
15 Sep 2018Bristol City1 - 0Sheffield Utd
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.4429.1%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6127.7%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1646.3%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8554.0%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0050.0%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:08 UTC