| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 90.4% | 90% | +0.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 93.4% | 6.6% |
| logistic | 91.5% | 8.5% |
| Moise Kouame | Robert Strombachs | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1760 | 1524 |
| Surface Elo | 1760 | 1524 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.70 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.20 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Nuno Borges | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Damm Jr, Martin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Otto Virtanen | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Hugo Gaston | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Daniel Masur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | H | Samuel De Felipe Garcia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Viacheslav Ovchinnikov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Adrien Gobat | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Karan Singh | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.60 | 17.9% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.12 | 89.3% | 09 Nov 06:15 |