| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.2% | 71% | -16.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| logistic | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Sergi Perez Contri | Nicolas Barrientos | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1475 | 1488 |
| Surface Elo | 1475 | 1488 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 181 | 314 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Apr | A | Jurij Rodionov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Apr | A | Arthur Gea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Mar | A | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Mar | A | Josip Simundza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Apr | A | Ignacio Buse | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Nov | A | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Nov | A | Alex Hernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Nov | H | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 May | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 May | H | Steven Diez | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.41 | 70.9% | 04 Oct 06:15 |