| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.7% | 61% | -11.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 52.2% | 31.9% |
| xgboost | 40.4% | 57.1% |
| logistic | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| Ottawa Senators | New York Islanders | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1556 | 1457 |
| Surface Elo | 1556 | 1457 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.71 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 3.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.71 | 2.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | H | St. Louis Blues | 2 - 7 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | New Jersey Devils | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Nashville Predators | 3 - 2 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 5 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Vancouver Canucks | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Tampa Bay Lightning | 3 - 5 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | New York Rangers | 2 - 5 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | New Jersey Devils | 6 - 0 | W |
| 11 Apr 2026 | New York Islanders | 0 - 3 | Ottawa Senators |
| 19 Mar 2026 | Ottawa Senators | 3 - 2 | New York Islanders |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Ottawa Senators | 4 - 5 | New York Islanders |
| 15 Jan 2025 | New York Islanders | 0 - 2 | Ottawa Senators |
| 08 Dec 2024 | Ottawa Senators | 2 - 4 | New York Islanders |
| 08 Nov 2024 | Ottawa Senators | 2 - 4 | New York Islanders |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.63 | 61.3% | 15 Oct 19:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.42 | 41.3% | 15 Oct 19:20 |