| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.6% | 62% | +4.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.5% | 32.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 71.1% | 28.9% |
| logistic | 65.6% | 34.4% |
| Beibit Zhukayev | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1514 | 1365 |
| Surface Elo | 1514 | 1365 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 56 | 189 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Aug | H | Mert Alkaya | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Amir Omarkhanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Apr | H | Dinko Dinev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Apr | H | Sho Shimabukuro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Apr | H | Uisung Park | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Mar | A | Jonas Forejtek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Nov | A | Petr Bar Biryukov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Nov | A | Li Tu | 0 - 1 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Shintaro Imai | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jul | A | Alex Martinez | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.61 | 62.1% | 04 Oct 06:15 |