| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 76.0% | 76% | +0.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 68.4% | 31.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 69.7% | 30.2% |
| logistic | 71.5% | 28.5% |
| Remy Bertola | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1549 | 1434 |
| Surface Elo | 1549 | 1434 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.83 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 4 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | A | Kilian Feldbausch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Leonardo Rossi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Denis Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Mika Brunold | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | David Goffin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Nov | A | Alexandre Reco | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Leo Raquillet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Lorenzo Angelini | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Alexander Chang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.15 | 31.8% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.32 | 75.8% | 10 Nov 06:15 |