| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.6% | 68% | -12.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 82.7% | 89% | -6.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 75.4% | 86% | -10.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 55% | +3.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 19.0% | 28.1% | 53.0% |
| xgboost | 20.6% | 26.3% | 53.1% |
| logistic | 14.4% | 23.6% | 62.1% |
| Lecce | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1590 | 1761 |
| Surface Elo | 1590 | 1761 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 7 W · 3 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Udinese | 3 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Udinese | 3 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Bologna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Bologna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Ac Milan | 0 - 3 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Rennes | 2 - 2 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Lazio | 0 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Lazio | 0 - 3 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Celta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Cagliari | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 May 2026 | Lecce | 0 - 1 | Juventus |
| 03 Jan 2026 | Juventus | 1 - 1 | Lecce |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Juventus | 2 - 1 | Lecce |
| 01 Dec 2024 | Lecce | 1 - 1 | Juventus |
| 21 Jan 2024 | Lecce | 0 - 3 | Juventus |
| 26 Sep 2023 | Juventus | 1 - 0 | Lecce |
| 03 May 2023 | Juventus | 2 - 1 | Lecce |
| 29 Oct 2022 | Lecce | 0 - 1 | Juventus |
| 26 Jun 2020 | Juventus | 4 - 0 | Lecce |
| 26 Oct 2019 | Lecce | 1 - 1 | Juventus |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.47 | 68.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.69 | 21.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 7.20 | 13.9% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.82 | 54.9% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |