| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.2% | 65% | -9.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.3% | 50.7% |
| logistic | 56.1% | 43.9% |
| Adrian Mannarino | Aleksandar Vukic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1737 | 1661 |
| Surface Elo | 1737 | 1661 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 8 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Aleksandar Vukic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Karen Khachanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Karen Khachanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Flavio Cobolli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Flavio Cobolli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Adrian Mannarino | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Tomas Machac | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Tomas Machac | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Hayato Matsuoka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Pavel Kotov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Adrian Mannarino | 2 - 1 | Aleksandar Vukic |
| 14 Oct 2024 | Adrian Mannarino | 0 - 2 | Aleksandar Vukic |
| 19 Aug 2024 | Adrian Mannarino | 1 - 2 | Aleksandar Vukic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |