OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ Scottish League One · Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · finished
Montrose 1.00 1 - 2 0.80 East Fife
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 51.8%49%+2.6%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 78.1%79%-0.8%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 69.5%67%+2.1%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 51.5%53%-1.8%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 49.7%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson49.9%26.8%23.3%
xgboost47.0%28.5%24.5%
logistic56.8%23.6%19.6%
Inputs the models saw
MontroseEast Fife
Elo (pre-match)14691386
Surface Elo14691386
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.000.80
Form trend-0.50-0.50
Season points per game1.540.92
Season goals for / game1.380.85
Season goals against / game1.621.23
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)8 W0 W · 2 D
Montrose: last 5
03 NovAInverness Caledonian Thistle FC0 - 1L
31 OctAHamilton1 - 1D
31 OctAHamilton1 - 1D
24 OctHPeterhead3 - 0W
24 OctHPeterhead3 - 0W
East Fife: last 5
31 OctHQueen of Sth2 - 0W
31 OctHQueen of the South FC2 - 0W
24 OctAHamilton1 - 2L
24 OctAHamilton1 - 2L
17 OctHAlloa0 - 3L
Head to head
19 Sep 2026East Fife1 - 2Montrose
19 Sep 2026East Fife1 - 2Montrose
04 Apr 2026Montrose1 - 0East Fife
31 Jan 2026East Fife2 - 3Montrose
22 Nov 2025Montrose2 - 1East Fife
20 Sep 2025East Fife1 - 1Montrose
05 Mar 2022Montrose0 - 0East Fife
02 Jan 2022East Fife0 - 2Montrose
23 Oct 2021Montrose4 - 1East Fife
21 Aug 2021East Fife0 - 2Montrose
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.6027.8%07 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%07 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.8554.0%07 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9052.6%07 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9052.6%07 Nov 15:00
SportyBet1X2away3.7027.0%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5028.6%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9351.8%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9152.4%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8753.5%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC