OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-21
🎾 ATP Challenger Guangzhou Nansha, China Men Singles · Wednesday 21 October 2026, 10:00 UTC · finished
Zhizhen Zhang 0.60 0 - 2 1.80 Yi Zhou
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 53.2%50%+3.2%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov62.2%37.8%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost44.3%55.7%
logistic49.6%50.4%
Inputs the models saw
Zhizhen ZhangYi Zhou
Elo (pre-match)16021628
Surface Elo16021628
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.601.80
Form trend-0.600.90
Season points per game3.001.50
Season goals for / game2.001.50
Season goals against / game0.001.50
Rest days110
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Zhizhen Zhang: last 5
20 OctHKaichi Uchida2 - 0W
19 OctAYi Zhou0 - 2L
19 OctAKaichi Uchida2 - 0W
07 OctHTomas Machac1 - 2L
07 OctATomas Machac1 - 2L
Yi Zhou: last 5
19 OctAColeman Wong0 - 2L
19 OctAAndre Ilagan2 - 0W
19 OctHZhizhen Zhang2 - 0W
19 OctAKoki Matsuda2 - 0W
11 OctAHubert Hurkacz1 - 2L
Head to head
19 Oct 2026Yi Zhou2 - 0Zhizhen Zhang
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.7457.5%21 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.0050.0%21 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:05 UTC