| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.8% | 51% | +3.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 81.4% | 82% | -0.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 73.9% | 71% | +2.7% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.1% | 56% | +0.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 62.1% | 23.3% | 14.6% |
| xgboost | 54.3% | 24.5% | 21.2% |
| logistic | 51.3% | 27.3% | 21.5% |
| Benevento | Vicenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1409 | 1379 |
| Surface Elo | 1409 | 1379 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | -0.70 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 0.83 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 2.17 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | SS Monopoli | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Cesena | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Cesena | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Carrarese | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Carrarese | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Virtus Entella | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Pisa | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Reggiana | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Verona | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Juve Stabia | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Apr 2022 | Benevento | 1 - 0 | Vicenza |
| 30 Nov 2021 | Vicenza | 2 - 3 | Benevento |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 17 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 17 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 17 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.75 | 57.1% | 17 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 17 Oct 14:00 |