| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 71.9% | 76% | -4.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| logistic | 64.9% | 35.1% |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1771 | 1657 |
| Surface Elo | 1771 | 1657 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Lautaro Midon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Murkel Dellien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Matias Soto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Guido Ivan Justo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Munk Mesa, Bernardo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 2 - 1 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| 06 Mar 2023 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0 - 2 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| 14 Nov 2022 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0 - 2 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| 26 Sep 2022 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0 - 2 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.25 | 30.8% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.31 | 76.3% | 11 Oct 06:15 |