| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.2% | 58% | -4.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.3% | 50.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.4% | 53.6% |
| logistic | 44.2% | 55.8% |
| Federico Cina | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1597 | 1669 |
| Surface Elo | 1597 | 1669 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.14 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 0.86 |
| Rest days | 1 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | A | Shintaro Mochizuki | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Jaume Munar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Jaume Munar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Remy Bertola | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Joel Schwaerzler | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Clement Tabur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Ugo Blanchet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Hugo Gaston | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Moise Kouame | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.73 | 57.8% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 28 Oct 06:15 |