OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-11
⚽ Greek Super League · Sunday 11 October 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished
Olympiakos 2.00 1 - 0 3.00 Panathinaikos
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 50.0%47%+3.5%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 78.3%79%-0.5%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 67.9%66%+1.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 58.8%59%-0.0%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 54.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson47.1%33.0%19.8%
xgboost39.1%32.9%28.0%
logistic54.3%24.0%21.7%
Inputs the models saw
OlympiakosPanathinaikos
Elo (pre-match)17841743
Surface Elo17841743
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.003.00
Form trend0.300.00
Season points per game2.003.00
Season goals for / game0.802.40
Season goals against / game0.400.40
Rest days2121
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W2 W · 4 D
Olympiakos: last 5
20 SepALevadeiakos1 - 0W
12 SepHOFI Crete0 - 1L
05 SepAVolos NFC1 - 1D
30 AugAAsteras Tripolis1 - 0W
22 AugHAtromitos1 - 0W
Panathinaikos: last 5
20 SepAKalamata1 - 0W
20 SepAPAE PS Kalamata1 - 0W
13 SepHPanetolikos3 - 0W
10 SepHKifisia3 - 1W
06 SepHPAOK3 - 1W
Head to head
13 May 2026Olympiakos1 - 0Panathinaikos
19 Apr 2026Panathinaikos0 - 2Olympiakos
08 Feb 2026Olympiakos0 - 1Panathinaikos
21 Sep 2025Panathinaikos1 - 1Olympiakos
11 May 2025Panathinaikos0 - 1Olympiakos
30 Mar 2025Olympiakos4 - 2Panathinaikos
26 Jan 2025Olympiakos1 - 1Panathinaikos
06 Oct 2024Panathinaikos0 - 0Olympiakos
19 May 2024Panathinaikos2 - 2Olympiakos
10 Mar 2024Olympiakos1 - 3Panathinaikos
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.5028.6%11 Oct 19:00
Bet3651X2draw3.1032.3%11 Oct 19:00
Bet3651X2home2.1546.5%11 Oct 19:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.1047.6%11 Oct 19:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.7058.8%11 Oct 19:00
Generated 2026-10-30 18:19 UTC