| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.3% | 56% | -4.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.6% | 54.4% |
| logistic | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Gabriela Andrea Knutson | Susan Bandecchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1531 | 1504 |
| Surface Elo | 1531 | 1504 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.33 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.56 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.78 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Emiliana Arango | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Maria Timofeeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Akli, Ayana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Katherine Sebov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Lisa Pigato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Maduzzi, Gaia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Nilsson, Lea | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Oceane Dodin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Lisa Pigato | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Viktoria Hruncakova | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.97 | 50.8% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.77 | 56.5% | 14 Oct 06:15 |