| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.2% | 66% | -4.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.6% | 40.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.5% | 48.4% |
| logistic | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| Mirra Andreeva | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1885 | 1884 |
| Surface Elo | 1885 | 1884 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 29 | 28 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Qinwen Zheng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Nikola Bartunkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Daria Snigur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Polina Kudermetova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Sonay Kartal | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Hanyu Guo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Liudmila Samsonova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Qinwen Zheng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Ann Li | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Elina Svitolina | 2 - 0 | Mirra Andreeva |
| 05 Mar 2025 | Elina Svitolina | 0 - 2 | Mirra Andreeva |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.52 | 65.8% | 09 Nov 06:15 |