| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 84.5% | 79% | +5.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 82.8% | 17.1% |
| logistic | 79.5% | 20.5% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | Max Dahlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1697 | 1587 |
| Surface Elo | 1697 | 1587 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 36 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | A | Rinky Hijikata | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Rinky Hijikata | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Alex De Minaur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Alex De Minaur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Andrey Rublev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Oliver Bonding | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Naoto Tomizawa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Damir Zhalgasbay | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Alexander Bernard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Vignesh Gogineni | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.95 | 25.3% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.27 | 78.7% | 09 Nov 06:15 |