| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.4% | 43% | +8.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.4% | 47.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 50.9% | 49.0% |
| logistic | 44.9% | 55.1% |
| Mees Rottgering | Andres Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1572 | 1621 |
| Surface Elo | 1572 | 1621 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Braden Shick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Edward Winter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Andy Andrade | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Braden Shick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Edward Winter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Luca Staeheli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Nishesh Basavareddy | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.58 | 63.3% | 02 Oct 06:15 |