| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.1% | 59% | +6.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 63.5% | 36.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.8% | 38.1% |
| logistic | 58.8% | 41.2% |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1870 | 1749 |
| Surface Elo | 1870 | 1749 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.77 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.77 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Franco Roncadelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Gonzalo Bueno | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Igor Marcondes | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 2 - 0 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| 16 Jan 2023 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 2 - 0 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| 09 Jan 2023 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 1 - 0 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| 15 Nov 2021 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 1 - 0 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.69 | 59.2% | 08 Nov 06:15 |