| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.7% | 48% | +1.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 76.6% | 73% | +3.3% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.4% | 63% | +2.3% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 68% | -11.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 57.0% | 24.9% | 18.1% |
| xgboost | 43.3% | 27.3% | 29.3% |
| logistic | 39.1% | 32.7% | 28.2% |
| Telstar | Almere City | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1471 | 1407 |
| Surface Elo | 1471 | 1407 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 527 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | A | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 - 3 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Feyenoord | 3 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Feyenoord | 3 - 4 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Den Haag | 2 - 2 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Amsterdamsche FC | 1 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Roda JC Kerkrade | 2 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | FC Emmen | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | De Treffers Groesbeek | 2 - 3 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | PSV Eindhoven | 3 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.47 | 68.0% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.65 | 37.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |