| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 43.1% | 44% | -0.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.0% | 76% | -1.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.4% | 61% | -7.0% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.6% | 59% | -5.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 51.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 31.0% | 31.9% |
| xgboost | 38.8% | 27.0% | 34.3% |
| logistic | 37.0% | 28.1% | 34.9% |
| Sochaux | Annecy | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1418 | 1479 |
| Surface Elo | 1418 | 1479 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Metz | 2 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Metz | 2 - 3 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Boulogne | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Oct | H | Boulogne | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Sep | A | Laval | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 Oct | H | Nancy | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Nancy | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Dunkerque | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Dunkerque | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Dijon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Feb 2023 | Sochaux | 5 - 1 | Annecy |
| 05 Nov 2022 | Annecy | 2 - 1 | Sochaux |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.70 | 58.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |