| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.8% | 66% | -5.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| logistic | 63.8% | 36.2% |
| Robin Bertrand | Joao Domingues | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1491 | 1431 |
| Surface Elo | 1491 | 1431 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 16 | 499 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Sep | A | Mark Lajal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Raphael Perot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Mathieu Scaglia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Aug | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jun | A | Raphael Perot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 May | A | Eero Vasa | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Gastao Elias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Sandro Kopp | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.51 | 66.2% | 23 Sep 06:15 |