| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.4% | 67% | -9.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.6% | 48.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 58.6% | 41.4% |
| logistic | 56.8% | 43.2% |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | Dylan Dietrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1679 | 1598 |
| Surface Elo | 1679 | 1598 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | H | Andres Andrade | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Hance, Keaton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Mees Rottgering | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Igor Marcondes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Dylan Dietrich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Henry Searle | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Keegan Smith | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Dinko Dinev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Nishesh Basavareddy | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Maxim Zhukov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Dylan Dietrich | 1 - 2 | Nishesh Basavareddy |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.50 | 66.7% | 26 Sep 06:15 |