OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-11-08

NFL · Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:30 UTC · finished

Atlanta Falcons – 17 - 34 – Cincinnati Bengals

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	59.0%	63%	-3.9%	✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	41.0%	59.0%

Inputs the models saw

	Atlanta Falcons	Cincinnati Bengals
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.12
form diff	-0.25
rest diff	0.00
home field	0.00
point diff	-0.57
opponent strength diff	0.07
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-11-07T14:30:00+00:00

Atlanta Falcons: last 5

01 Nov	A	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0 - 16	L
25 Oct	H	San Francisco 49ers	29 - 20	W
18 Oct	H	Chicago Bears	23 - 31	L
12 Oct	H	Baltimore Ravens	23 - 30	L
06 Oct	A	New Orleans Saints	45 - 24	W

Cincinnati Bengals: last 5

01 Nov	H	Tennessee Titans	43 - 36	W
25 Oct	A	Baltimore Ravens	35 - 13	W
11 Oct	A	Miami Dolphins	31 - 24	W
04 Oct	H	Jacksonville Jaguars	17 - 22	L
27 Sep	A	Pittsburgh Steelers	27 - 30	L

Head to head

23 Oct 2022	Cincinnati Bengals	35 - 17	Atlanta Falcons
30 Sep 2018	Atlanta Falcons	36 - 37	Cincinnati Bengals
14 Sep 2014	Cincinnati Bengals	24 - 10	Atlanta Falcons
24 Oct 2010	Atlanta Falcons	39 - 32	Cincinnati Bengals
29 Oct 2006	Cincinnati Bengals	27 - 29	Atlanta Falcons
23 Sep 2002	Atlanta Falcons	30 - 3	Cincinnati Bengals

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	2.53	39.5%	08 Nov 14:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.58	63.3%	08 Nov 14:20

Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC