| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.1% | 51% | +3.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.6% | 47.3% |
| logistic | 51.6% | 48.4% |
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Kilian Feldbausch | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1672 | 1672 |
| Surface Elo | 1672 | 1672 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.33 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.61 | 0.86 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Philip Henning | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Marco Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Diogo Morais | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Sumit Nagal | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Remy Bertola | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Raul Brancaccio | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Tom Paris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.79 | 55.9% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.96 | 51.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |