| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 47.5% | 38% | +9.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.9% | 80% | -5.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 59.8% | 52% | +8.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.0% | 44% | +5.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.5% | 26.4% | 32.1% |
| xgboost | 30.4% | 28.8% | 40.8% |
| logistic | 33.0% | 28.3% | 38.7% |
| Wealdstone | Yeovil | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1378 | 1441 |
| Surface Elo | 1378 | 1441 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 2.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 4 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Barrow | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Barrow | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Forest Green | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Sep | A | Forest Green | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Gateshead | 4 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Boston Utd | 6 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Boston Utd | 6 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Worthing | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Sep | H | Worthing | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Kidderminster | 1 - 0 | W |
| 25 Mar 2026 | Wealdstone | 0 - 2 | Yeovil |
| 04 Nov 2025 | Yeovil | 0 - 2 | Wealdstone |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Yeovil | 1 - 2 | Wealdstone |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Wealdstone | 0 - 3 | Yeovil |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Yeovil | 0 - 0 | Wealdstone |
| 29 Aug 2022 | Wealdstone | 0 - 0 | Yeovil |
| 02 May 2022 | Yeovil | 0 - 0 | Wealdstone |
| 08 Feb 2022 | Wealdstone | 2 - 1 | Yeovil |
| 01 May 2021 | Wealdstone | 0 - 2 | Yeovil |
| 06 Oct 2020 | Yeovil | 2 - 2 | Wealdstone |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.60 | 62.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |