OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-28

🎾 tennis_atp_swiss_indoors · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 14:10 UTC · scheduled

Novak Djokovic 1.80 14:10 0.00 Ugo Humbert

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	74.3%	72%	+2.3%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.0%	35.2%
xgboost	77.0%	23.0%
logistic	81.8%	18.2%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Novak Djokovic	Ugo Humbert
Elo (pre-match)	2138	1780
Surface Elo	2138	1780
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.80	0.00
Form trend	0.90	0.00
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	19	8
Head-to-head (last 10)	1 W	0 W · 0 D

Novak Djokovic: last 5

09 Oct	H	Hubert Hurkacz	0 - 2	L
09 Oct	A	Hubert Hurkacz	0 - 2	L
06 Oct	H	Alex De Minaur	1 - 0	W
06 Oct	A	Alex De Minaur	1 - 0	W
05 Oct	H	Daniil Medvedev	2 - 0	W

Ugo Humbert: last 5

20 Oct	H	Corentin Moutet	1 - 2	L
20 Oct	A	Corentin Moutet	1 - 2	L
09 Oct	A	Arthur Gea	1 - 2	L
09 Oct	A	Arthur Gea	1 - 2	L
03 Oct	H	Jiri Lehecka	1 - 2	L

Head to head

01 Jul 2019

Novak Djokovic

3 - 0

Ugo Humbert

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.38	72.5%	28 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.17	31.6%	28 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.36	73.5%	28 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.10	32.3%	28 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.38	72.5%	28 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.10	32.3%	28 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.36	73.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.00	33.3%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.42	70.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.30	30.3%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Novak Djokovic	1.43	69.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Ugo Humbert	3.40	29.4%	28 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.38	72.5%	28 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.14	31.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.37	73.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.05	32.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.38	72.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.07	32.6%	28 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.35	74.1%	28 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.20	31.2%	28 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.36	73.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.12	32.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.42	70.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.30	30.3%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Novak Djokovic	1.43	69.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Ugo Humbert	3.40	29.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.37	73.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.05	32.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.38	72.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.30	30.3%	28 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.29	77.5%	28 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.00	33.3%	28 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	3.15	31.8%	28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.39	71.9%	28 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.35	74.1%	28 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Ugo Humbert	2.95	33.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.35	74.1%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.05	32.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.35	74.1%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.20	31.2%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.35	74.1%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.20	31.2%	28 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.36	73.5%	28 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.10	32.3%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.39	71.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Ugo Humbert	3.15	31.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Novak Djokovic	1.35	74.1%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Ugo Humbert	2.95	33.9%	28 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 15:04 UTC