| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.7% | 65% | -1.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 66.2% | 33.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| logistic | 64.9% | 35.1% |
| Caty McNally | Dayana Yastremska | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1657 | 1468 |
| Surface Elo | 1657 | 1468 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 31 | 31 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Dayana Yastremska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Emma Navarro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Anouk Koevermans | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Aug | A | Anna Kalinskaya | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | H | Mccartney Kessler | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Sinja Kraus | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Maja Chwalinska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Caty McNally | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Lucrezia Stefanini | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Janice Tjen | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Caty McNally | 0 - 2 | Dayana Yastremska |
| 16 Aug 2021 | Caty McNally | 0 - 2 | Dayana Yastremska |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.55 | 64.5% | 29 Sep 06:15 |