| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.7% | 62% | -1.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.9% | 55.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 38.9% | 61.0% |
| logistic | 42.2% | 57.8% |
| Sofia Kenin | Ashlyn Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1503 | 1598 |
| Surface Elo | 1503 | 1598 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 32 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Ashlyn Krueger | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Alina Charaeva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Alina Charaeva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Jessica Pegula | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Venus Williams | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Ann Li | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Sofia Kenin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Amanda Anisimova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | H | Lois Boisson | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | H | Naomi Osaka | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Ashlyn Krueger | 2 - 0 | Sofia Kenin |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Ashlyn Krueger | 0 - 2 | Sofia Kenin |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Ashlyn Krueger | 2 - 1 | Sofia Kenin |
| 10 Feb 2025 | Ashlyn Krueger | 0 - 2 | Sofia Kenin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.61 | 62.1% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 30 Sep 06:15 |