| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 43.3% | 37% | +6.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 72.0% | 74% | -1.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 55.4% | 52% | +3.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 53% | +3.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.4% | 28.5% | 33.1% |
| xgboost | 31.5% | 35.3% | 33.1% |
| logistic | 33.8% | 30.6% | 35.6% |
| Crystal Palace | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1660 | 1687 |
| Surface Elo | 1660 | 1687 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 21 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 6 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Plymouth | 1 - 5 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Leeds | 0 - 0 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Ipswich | 2 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Fulham | 3 - 2 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | Manchester City | 1 - 4 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Peterborough United | 5 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Burton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Coventry | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Aston Villa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Tottenham | 0 - 0 | D |
| 01 Feb 2026 | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 1 | Crystal Palace |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Crystal Palace | 1 - 1 | Nottingham Forest |
| 05 May 2025 | Crystal Palace | 1 - 1 | Nottingham Forest |
| 21 Oct 2024 | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 0 | Crystal Palace |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 1 | Crystal Palace |
| 07 Oct 2023 | Crystal Palace | 0 - 0 | Nottingham Forest |
| 28 May 2023 | Crystal Palace | 1 - 1 | Nottingham Forest |
| 12 Nov 2022 | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 0 | Crystal Palace |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.69 | 37.2% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.89 | 52.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.92 | 52.1% | 09 Oct 06:15 |