| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.6% | 38% | +14.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 52.7% | 47.2% |
| logistic | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Luca Staeheli | Sebastian Gorzny | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1458 | 1500 |
| Surface Elo | 1458 | 1500 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 29 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | H | Sebastian Gorzny | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Juan Manuel La Serna | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Andrey Chepelev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Jul | A | Jack Loge | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | A | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | J.J. Wolf | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Nishesh Basavareddy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Luca Staeheli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Sep | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 3 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Raphael Collignon | 3 - 2 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Luca Staeheli | 0 - 2 | Sebastian Gorzny |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.40 | 71.4% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 15 Sep 09:05 |