| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.5% | 10% | +39.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.8% | 91% | -16.0% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 59.1% | 11% | +47.9% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.3% | 74% | -28.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 51.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 26.2% | 26.3% | 47.5% |
| xgboost | 36.8% | 30.9% | 32.3% |
| logistic | 42.6% | 28.3% | 29.1% |
| Boreham Wood | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1629 | 1715 |
| Surface Elo | 1629 | 1715 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | H | Harrogate | 4 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Harrogate | 4 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Scunthorpe | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Eastleigh | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Carlisle | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Ipswich | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Tottenham | 0 - 0 | D |
| 06 Sep | H | Manchester United | 2 - 2 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Bournemouth | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Crystal Palace | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 10.50 | 9.5% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 6.25 | 16.0% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.23 | 81.3% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.35 | 74.1% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.15 | 31.8% | 23 Sep 06:15 |