| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.1% | 39% | +12.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.3% | 55.7% |
| logistic | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| Oleg Prihodko | Karl Friberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1442 | 1473 |
| Surface Elo | 1442 | 1473 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Maxim Mrva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | A | Matyas Fuele | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | A | Alex Barrena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Henry Bernet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Rejchtman Vinciguerra, W | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Jan | H | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Nov | A | Andrea Vavassori | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Nov | H | Sebastian Fanselow | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.45 | 69.0% | 07 Oct 06:15 |