| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.6% | 54% | +1.3% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.8% | 39.4% |
| xgboost | 44.8% | 54.3% |
| logistic | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Boston Bruins | Montréal Canadiens | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1605 | 1598 |
| Surface Elo | 1605 | 1598 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.78 | 3.44 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.28 | 3.06 |
| Rest days | 4 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | H | Florida Panthers | 4 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Pittsburgh Penguins | 6 - 2 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Vegas Golden Knights | 3 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Chicago Blackhawks | 5 - 4 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | St. Louis Blues | 1 - 4 | L |
| 11 Nov | H | Minnesota Wild | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 4 - 2 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 5 - 4 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Winnipeg Jets | 4 - 5 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 4 | W |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 2 | Boston Bruins |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Boston Bruins | 4 - 3 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 24 Dec 2025 | Boston Bruins | 2 - 6 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 16 Nov 2025 | Montréal Canadiens | 2 - 3 | Boston Bruins |
| 03 Apr 2025 | Montréal Canadiens | 4 - 1 | Boston Bruins |
| 01 Dec 2024 | Boston Bruins | 6 - 3 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 10 Oct 2024 | Boston Bruins | 6 - 4 | Montréal Canadiens |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.84 | 54.3% | 12 Nov 18:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.08 | 48.1% | 12 Nov 18:20 |