| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.3% | 69% | -17.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.9% | 89% | -11.2% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 68.5% | 86% | -17.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.8% | 42% | +13.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.1% | 24.9% | 25.0% |
| xgboost | 46.1% | 31.2% | 22.6% |
| logistic | 51.6% | 25.1% | 23.2% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Bolton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1586 | 1533 |
| Surface Elo | 1586 | 1533 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 2.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Gateshead | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Middlesbrough | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Middlesbrough | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | West Brom | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | West Brom | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Blackburn | 3 - 3 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Stoke | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Stoke | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Norwich | 4 - 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Norwich | 4 - 3 | W |
| 21 Apr 2018 | Bolton | 0 - 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 25 Nov 2017 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 5 - 1 | Bolton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.46 | 13.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.98 | 20.1% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.44 | 69.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.61 | 62.1% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 13 Oct 06:15 |