| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.5% | 57% | -0.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.3% | 39.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 50.4% | 49.5% |
| logistic | 50.9% | 49.1% |
| Aidan Mayo | Michael Mmoh | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1721 | 1706 |
| Surface Elo | 1721 | 1706 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.05 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.47 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.74 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Stefan Kozlov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | Andres Andrade | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Max Hans Rehberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Alastair Gray | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Petr Nesterov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Jan Kumstat | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Luca Nardi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Luca Nardi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct 2025 | Michael Mmoh | 2 - 0 | Aidan Mayo |
| 22 Apr 2024 | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 1 | Michael Mmoh |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.75 | 57.1% | 10 Nov 06:15 |