| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 83.5% | 93% | -9.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 17.5% | 82.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 16.9% | 83.0% |
| logistic | 23.8% | 76.2% |
| Ashlyn Krueger | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1605 | 1952 |
| Surface Elo | 1605 | 1952 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | H | Shuai Zhang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Iga Swiatek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Lanlana Tararudee | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Shuai Zhang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Ann Li | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Magdalena Frech | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Maja Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Ann Li | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Ashlyn Krueger | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Magdalena Frech | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Ashlyn Krueger | 0 - 2 | Iga Swiatek |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.08 | 92.6% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 8.75 | 11.4% | 15 Oct 06:15 |