| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.2% | 54% | -2.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.0% | 52.8% |
| logistic | 51.6% | 48.4% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Tatjana Maria | Alice Tubello | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1645 | 1634 |
| Surface Elo | 1645 | 1634 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.83 | 1.73 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Nov | H | Luisina Giovannini | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Bianca Andreescu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Fiona Ferro | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Valeriya Strakhova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Colmegna, Martina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | H | Julia Riera | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Bianca Andreescu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Leolia Jeanjean | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Marina Bassols Ribera | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Rebeka Masarova | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.85 | 54.0% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.89 | 52.9% | 11 Nov 06:15 |