| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 69.2% | 78% | -9.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.8% | 61.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 13.0% | 86.9% |
| logistic | 29.3% | 70.7% |
| Katarzyna Kawa | Daria Snigur | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1466 | 1699 |
| Surface Elo | 1466 | 1699 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 20 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Elena Rybakina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Belinda Bencic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Daria Snigur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Daria Snigur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Paula Badosa | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Katarzyna Kawa | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Elise Mertens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Janice Tjen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Elise Mertens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Daria Snigur | 1 - 2 | Katarzyna Kawa |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Daria Snigur | 2 - 1 | Katarzyna Kawa |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.33 | 75.2% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.45 | 29.0% | 20 Oct 06:15 |