| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.7% | 65% | -10.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 79.9% | 85% | -4.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.8% | 83% | -13.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.3% | 66% | -2.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 62.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 56.3% | 23.1% | 20.7% |
| xgboost | 47.8% | 18.8% | 33.4% |
| logistic | 60.4% | 21.9% | 17.7% |
| Forest Green | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1458 | 1396 |
| Surface Elo | 1458 | 1396 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.17 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.75 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 18 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Chesham United | 5 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Chesham United | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Hartlepool | 2 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Hartlepool | 2 - 4 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Wealdstone | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Boston Utd | 4 - 2 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Boston Utd | 4 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Hornchurch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Hornchurch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Woking | 1 - 3 | L |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Eastleigh | 2 - 4 | Forest Green |
| 25 Aug 2025 | Forest Green | 1 - 0 | Eastleigh |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Forest Green | 2 - 1 | Eastleigh |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Eastleigh | 1 - 3 | Forest Green |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.10 | 19.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.30 | 23.3% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.54 | 64.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.52 | 65.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |