| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.8% | 80% | -16.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 31.8% | 68.1% |
| logistic | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| Sebastian Gima | Jonas Forejtek | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1435 | 1464 |
| Surface Elo | 1435 | 1464 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Filip Misolic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Tolev, Aleksandar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Jun | A | Guido Ivan Justo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jun | A | Andrej Nedic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Maxime Chazal | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Sebastian Gima | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Jonas Forejtek | 2 - 1 | Sebastian Gima |
| 10 Jun 2024 | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | Sebastian Gima |
| 08 Apr 2024 | Jonas Forejtek | 2 - 0 | Sebastian Gima |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.25 | 80.0% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.70 | 27.0% | 22 Sep 06:15 |