OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-12
🇪🇸 La Liga · Monday 12 October 2026, 19:00 UTC · finished
Levante 1.00 3 - 3 1.40 Sevilla
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 46.5%36%+10.5%✗ miss
DCHome or away 76.6%74%+3.0%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 58.2%51%+7.3%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.4%50%+7.7%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 56.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson44.6%24.8%30.6%
xgboost35.2%25.5%39.3%
logistic41.3%25.9%32.8%
Inputs the models saw
LevanteSevilla
Elo (pre-match)16071622
Surface Elo16071622
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.001.40
Form trend0.50-0.20
Season points per game0.831.86
Season goals for / game1.331.43
Season goals against / game2.001.29
Rest days2223
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W7 W · 1 D
Levante: last 5
09 OctACD Utiel3 - 0W
26 SepACF Villarreal C2 - 0W
20 SepAVillarreal1 - 3L
20 SepHOntinyent CF2 - 0W
13 SepHBarcelona2 - 4L
Sevilla: last 5
19 SepHBarcelona1 - 3L
16 SepALa Coruna1 - 0W
11 SepHValencia1 - 0W
06 SepAEspanol1 - 1D
29 AugHAtlético Madrid1 - 3L
Head to head
23 Apr 2026Levante2 - 0Sevilla
04 Jan 2026Sevilla0 - 3Levante
21 Apr 2022Levante2 - 3Sevilla
24 Oct 2021Sevilla5 - 3Levante
21 Apr 2021Levante0 - 1Sevilla
01 Oct 2020Sevilla1 - 0Levante
15 Jun 2020Levante1 - 1Sevilla
20 Oct 2019Sevilla1 - 0Levante
26 Jan 2019Sevilla5 - 0Levante
23 Sep 2018Levante2 - 6Sevilla
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.4041.7%12 Oct 20:00
Bet3651X2draw3.2530.8%12 Oct 20:00
Bet3651X2home3.0033.3%12 Oct 20:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.0050.0%12 Oct 20:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.8055.6%12 Oct 20:00
SportyBet1X2away2.7636.2%12 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.3330.0%12 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.8035.7%12 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.0548.8%12 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8055.6%12 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:08 UTC