| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 69.1% | 30.8% |
| logistic | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| Daniil Medvedev | Francisco Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2030 | 1947 |
| Surface Elo | 2030 | 1947 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.17 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | H | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Jan Lennard Struff | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Rodrigo Alujas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Pablo Carreno Busta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Pablo Carreno Busta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Jakub Mensik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Jakub Mensik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct 2026 | Daniil Medvedev | 2 - 0 | Francisco Cerundolo |
| 23 Mar 2026 | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | Francisco Cerundolo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||