| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.2% | 51% | -4.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 73.3% | 81% | -7.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.6% | 66% | -5.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.8% | 73% | +1.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 65.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 35.6% | 30.7% | 33.7% |
| xgboost | 41.4% | 25.9% | 32.8% |
| logistic | 45.8% | 25.2% | 29.0% |
| Almere City | Volendam | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1407 | 1422 |
| Surface Elo | 1407 | 1422 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 503 | 139 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Volendam | 4 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | BVV Barendrecht | 1 - 4 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | FC Dordrecht | 2 - 3 | L |
| 18 May | A | AZ Alkmaar | 1 - 1 | D |
| 14 May | H | For Sittard | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | Almere City | 1 - 4 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | VVV Venlo | 3 - 2 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | GVVV Veenendaal | 2 - 3 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | SV Spakenburg | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | BVV Barendrecht | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Oct 2026 | Volendam | 1 - 4 | Almere City |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Almere City | 1 - 1 | Volendam |
| 14 Jan 2024 | Volendam | 0 - 1 | Almere City |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.95 | 51.3% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.39 | 71.9% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.95 | 33.9% | 03 Oct 06:15 |