| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 79.5% | 82% | -2.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 72.7% | 27.1% |
| logistic | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Igor Marcondes | Ryo Tabata | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1560 | 1501 |
| Surface Elo | 1560 | 1501 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.64 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.09 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.09 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | H | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Luis Felipe Miguel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Luis Felipe Miguel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Erik Arutiunian | 0 - 1 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Oriol Roca Batalla | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Juan Estevez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Santiago De La Fuente | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Oriol Roca Batalla | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Juan Estevez | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.95 | 25.3% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.22 | 82.0% | 08 Nov 06:15 |