| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.9% | 65% | -12.8% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.5% | 87% | -8.6% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.2% | 82% | -13.2% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.8% | 60% | -6.1% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.8% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 53.0% | 24.7% | 22.2% |
| xgboost | 49.8% | 27.0% | 23.2% |
| logistic | 49.8% | 27.0% | 23.2% |
| Wycombe | Burton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1506 | 1480 |
| Surface Elo | 1506 | 1480 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.70 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.29 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.14 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.29 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 24 Oct | A | AFC Wimbledon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | AFC Wimbledon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | A | Cambridge | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Oct | A | Cambridge | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Oct | A | Watford | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Leyton Orient | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Leyton Orient | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Bradford | 0 - 0 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Bradford | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Peterborough United | 2 - 2 | D |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Wycombe | 3 - 0 | Burton |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Burton | 0 - 0 | Wycombe |
| 04 Mar 2025 | Wycombe | 2 - 0 | Burton |
| 22 Oct 2024 | Burton | 2 - 3 | Wycombe |
| 06 Jan 2024 | Burton | 1 - 1 | Wycombe |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Wycombe | 0 - 0 | Burton |
| 11 Mar 2023 | Burton | 2 - 1 | Wycombe |
| 30 Jul 2022 | Wycombe | 3 - 0 | Burton |
| 30 Apr 2022 | Burton | 1 - 2 | Wycombe |
| 07 Dec 2021 | Wycombe | 2 - 1 | Burton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.80 | 17.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.50 | 22.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.66 | 60.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |