OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-20
⚽ 2. Bundesliga · Sunday 20 September 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Bielefeld 0.80 2 - 2 2.40 Heidenheim
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 60.4%47%+13.3%✗ miss
DCHome or away 85.6%79%+6.5%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 68.1%63%+4.8%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 73.8%64%+10.1%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 64.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.5%22.6%36.9%
xgboost44.2%23.7%32.1%
logistic36.3%30.3%33.4%
Inputs the models saw
BielefeldHeidenheim
Elo (pre-match)13941526
Surface Elo13941526
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.802.40
Form trend0.20-0.30
Season points per game0.802.40
Season goals for / game1.602.40
Season goals against / game2.002.00
Rest days86
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W2 W · 5 D
Bielefeld: last 5
11 SepADarmstadt1 - 2L
04 SepHSt Pauli2 - 2D
29 AugANurnberg1 - 4L
16 AugHCottbus3 - 0W
08 AugAKarlsruhe1 - 2L
Heidenheim: last 5
13 SepHHolstein Kiel1 - 0W
06 SepAGreuther Furth1 - 0W
29 AugHDresden5 - 3W
15 AugAHertha Berlin1 - 4L
08 AugHOsnabruck4 - 3W
Head to head
26 Feb 2023Bielefeld0 - 1Heidenheim
21 Aug 2022Heidenheim1 - 1Bielefeld
28 Jun 2020Bielefeld3 - 0Heidenheim
14 Dec 2019Heidenheim0 - 0Bielefeld
22 Dec 2018Bielefeld1 - 2Heidenheim
05 Aug 2018Heidenheim1 - 1Bielefeld
04 Mar 2018Heidenheim2 - 2Bielefeld
23 Sep 2017Bielefeld1 - 1Heidenheim
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.5028.6%20 Sep 12:30
Bet3651X2draw3.7526.7%20 Sep 12:30
Bet3651X2home1.9052.6%20 Sep 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5066.7%20 Sep 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.5040.0%20 Sep 12:30
SportyBet1X2away3.2031.2%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7526.7%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1546.5%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5763.7%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3542.5%20 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 20:30 UTC